Eric Johnson, a political strategy expert from Florida, said: “Florida is always close. Electors are apportioned according to the population of each state, but even the least populous states are constitutionally guaranteed a minimum of three electors (one representative and two senators). In the general election, Trump didn’t run his campaign in any sort of traditional way. But in 2020 the states 29 votes could be enough to compensate for the smaller states Joe Biden is expected to win. In a surprise victory that defied most pre-election polling, outsider Republican candidate Donald Trump beat Democrat Hillary Clinton, wife of the former president, Bill Clinton, despite the fact that Hillary Clinton received 2.8 million more votes in the popular vote—the largest such disparity yet. A portrait of President Benjamin Harrison, 1888. But if he does not, the chances fall to 40 per cent. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, © 2020 A&E Television Networks, LLC. Why did the Commission decide to hand the election to Hayes, who had lost both the popular and electoral vote? Donald J. Trump just doesn’t have what it takes to just win on November 3. Most historians believe there was a deal brokered between the two parties. Wyoming, for example, has one House representative for all of its roughly 570,000 residents. The Georgia-based Trafalgar Group drew national attention in 2016 as one of the few pollsters showing Trump leading in Pennsylvania, Florida and Michigan on the eve of voting day. In the end, Trump may have lost the popular vote by millions, but he won the Electoral College convincingly with 304 electoral votes to Clinton’s 227. FACT CHECK: We strive for accuracy and fairness. With Florida in hand, Bush won the Electoral College 271 to 266, while Gore ended up getting 500,000 more votes in the popular vote. Mutual Fund and ETF data provided by Refinitiv Lipper. Presidential election results map. “And if that happens, well, then the mainstream media is going to have to cover it. Courtesy Library of Congress. When Florida Secretary of State Katherine Harris certified Bush as the winner by 537 votes, Gore sued, arguing that not all ballots had been counted. Both parties accused the other of paying citizens to vote for their candidate. Barack Obama was declared the winner of Florida's 29 electoral votes after four-days of counting. What Is the Electoral College and Why Was It Created? In the end, Trump may have lost the popular vote by millions, but he won the Electoral College convincingly with 304 electoral votes to Clinton’s 227. The Democrats, whose stronghold was the South, agreed to let Hayes be president in return for the Republicans promising to pull all federal troops from former Confederate states. "The Sun", "Sun", "Sun Online" are registered trademarks or trade names of News Group Newspapers Limited. But if their opponent wins a bunch of smaller states by tight margins, he or she could still win the Electoral College. Numbers indicate electoral votes cast by each state and the District of Columbia. Asked why he foresees that outcome, especially with most public polls showing Trump trailing badly behind presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden , Romney offered three reasons.
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